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ANZ goes out on a limb and predicts three OCR rises this year

Tuesday 14th of April 2026

Essentially, it sees the RBNZ becoming too uncomfortable with an OCR in stimulatory territory as inflation inevitably rises.

In a research note, the bank says the risks of going too late outweigh the risks of hiking too soon as long as the OCR is not considered contractionary (i.e. not over 3%, the midpoint of the RBNZ’s range of estimates of the neutral rate).

However, ev...

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