Investments

Can experts predict market turning points?

Thursday 13th of July 2017

The market’s prediction power

It seems logical to expect equity markets to fall if the economy hits a recession. If investors as a group are skilled at predicting the future, then a bear market should precede each recession. In a 1966 Newsweek article, economist Paul Samuelson famously remarked that the stock market had predicted nine of the past five recessions. His ton...

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