Investments

Harbour Commentary: Tricky Turning Point

Wednesday 18th of May 2011

Harbour's current strategy development reflects:

  • A world still in expansion but with gathering risks
  • A better outlook for New Zealand growth momentum, near term, relative to Australia 
  • Risks around a near term pull-back in the global commodity boom
  • Increasing some NZ consumer exposure given under-performance and the rebuilding of savings
  • A preference for LNG exposure over bulk commodities
  • Increased growth and quality positions relative to cyclical recovery opportunities at a stock level

At turning points in growth momentum, sector returns are harder to predict. At the moment sector and stock returns are also being influenced by the extra-ordinary appreciation of the Australian dollar, weakness in the US dollar and volatility in commodity prices.

Read Harbour's research reports here: http://www.harbourasset.co.nz/html/

 

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