Mortgage News

Low rates 'hiding mortgage stress'

Thursday 28th of February 2013

KPMG partner John Kensington, editor of the accounting firm’s Financial Institutions Performance Survey (FIPS), said that despite falling over the past couple of years, impaired and past due assets were still well above pre-global financial crisis levels.

But he said low interest rates meant banks were managing to prevent these troubles spilling over into a flood of mortgagee sales, which currently account for only 0.2% of houses being sold.

Kensington said banks were managing their struggling assets well and low rates allowed them more flexibility when dealing with clients.

“What some banks are doing at the moment is that if someone can’t make all their payment, provided they can pay the interest component, they’re prepared to let them make part payment on the principal.”

But when interest rates started to rise, these sorts of arrangements would be put under pressure, he said.

“If you make people pay interest at 8% there are going to be even more people past due. If the rates go higher payment will be higher and there will be a larger interest rate component.”

Kensington said the issue of low interest rates went beyond those who were behind on their mortgage payments.

“Banks are writing lots of loans at 4.9% with 100% loan-to-value ratio; what will happen when the OCR and inflation pushes borrowing costs up to 7-8%? That’s one of the questions being asked.”

Comments (7)
darcy ungaro
100% lending at 4.90% eh - keen to get some of that?
0 0
11 years ago

Satish Kamath
The author seems to have some facts incorrect.No lender is lending @ 100% LVR - not for first-home buyers certainly. If any lender is, it must be an exception.Most lenders are using a default interest rate of 6% to ensure the application passes servicing at that level of interest. This could be a bit higher at 7%. If an application meets servicing at 7%,the borrower/s have shown an ability to service the loan at that rate ( which could be a couple of years away at least given current trends). In the longer term,both lenders and borrowers have to be prudent and should factor in increased repayment levels to cope with the possible stress when interest rates do step up.
0 0
11 years ago

Satish Kamath
@Niko...clarification accepted. This practice of lending 100% on another property has been prevalent in NZ for a long time now and is not something new to the market.The lender will use the equity held in another property to leverage 100% lending against another property.Only condition being both ( or more than 2 properties in many scenarios)securities/properties will be taken over as collateral by the lender.
0 0
11 years ago

Regan Thomas
In other words there is no such thing as 100%, let alone at 4.9 But that's not what the reader gets from reading "“Banks are writing lots of loans at 4.9% with 100% loan-to-value ratio;" Those "select customers" will have strong equity across other assets and be a significant client to bargain that low. Their total LVR will probably be better than 75% over half a dozen or more rentals with strong cashflows to boot. In 2009 mortgage stress and rising mortgagee sales had a lot more to do with unemployment figures and rising food and energy costs than rates, and next time round it will be the same. In two years time rising interest costs will only be a part of the picture.
0 0
11 years ago

Simon Rule
Niko – The Banks routinely allow customers to borrow 100% of the purchase price paid for a new property “when” another property with good equity is also offered as security. These are NOT 100% loans sorry. The true 100% loan by definition is where the borrower has NO equity/deposit to contribute whatsoever towards a purchase. As others have already commented above NONE of the banks are writing these types of loans at present to anyone. With respect I think John Kensington needs a banker/mortgage broker to educate him what 100% lending actually is as his comments above are misleading to prospective borrowers and your readers.
0 0
11 years ago

W K
@niko, with due respect to the people you spoke with, if you want more accurate information of what's happening in the market place, talk to the people who are running in the market place, ie. doing the actual work/trade/business, etc, doesn't matter if he's only a salesman. Not the people at the top with loads of qualifications/titles after their names, only look at numbers and sit in the office.
0 0
11 years ago

Giles Thorman
I must admit to being staggered at the reaction to this article. 90% of the article discusses the potential for more problems with mortgagee sales etc in the future as interest rates rise. It seems that all the commentators here chose to ignore that and instead became fixated with a quoted mortgage rate and LVR. Just above the article is a link to an article that starts: "New Zealand is still at significant risk of a sharp correction in property prices, according to Standard and Poors." No doubt as they have "loads of qualifications/titles after their names, only look at numbers and sit in the office", they will not be worth listening to either!
0 0
11 years ago

Comments to GoodReturns.co.nz go through an approval process. Comments which are defamatory, abusive or in some way deemed inappropriate will not be approved.