MR - Latest Trends
GDP lower than expected
Wednesday 29th of September 2010
Last week's GDP figures surprised everyone and now economists are all on the same page with the next Official Cash Rate (OCR) increase not expected until March 2011.
GDP figures as seen in the graph showed the economy grew just 0.2% in the June quarter. Market expectations were centred around 0.8% and the Reserve Bank was expecting 0.9%.
ASB says if the Reserve Bank waits till March next year then it will have another six months to allow the economy to strengthen and better assess the earthquake disruption.
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