News

Suddenly now is the time to buy property

Friday 27th of February 2009
They say a week is a long time in politics, but clearly the same can be said for the property market. On Sunday one of the papers had another doom and gloom story with one of the most stupid suggestions imaginable.

If you’re selling your house, drop the price 20% and you will get a flood of buyers. Yeah – no doubt you will, but why give away 20% of its value? If it’s priced appropriately you don’t need to.

Next it went on to extol the virtues of tenders as the buyer has to nominate a price.

Well, tenders and auctions are fine. My experience here is that the theory is great but the reality is that it doesn’t work. Having watched quite a few auctions in recent months it is clear bugger-all is sold under the hammer. The most likely to sell are mortgagee properties as the bank just wants whatever money it can get.

Tenders are an alternative. Again it seems to me potential buyers just don’t like this method of selling. Unless they absolutely fall in love with a place and are prepared to pay a silly price then the likelihood of selling this way is low.

My take on the market at the moment is that if you want to sell a property, put a price on it. The market is far too skittish at the moment and vendors are too uncertain on what the value of a property is to make up prices themselves.

The other piece in the papers which caught my attention was the lead story in the Herald: Now’s the time to buy a house.

I loved it, not just because it echoed what I have been saying, but because it is right. If you have some money and are happy to invest in property, rather than shares, corporate bonds, bank deposits or something else, then consider property.

The market is near the bottom, money doesn’t get much cheaper than this, and over time prices will recover.

I’ll be watching this weekend’s media to see if they all get on the bandwagon and start preaching now is the time to buy.

Comments (5)
Jeremy Jones
I think it is a very good time to buy. Although any time from now till early next spring will be good too. After that it should all be go with mild to moderate price increases. Quite a few people I know hope to pick up a renter pretty soon - and I will too. Very tempting with interest rates so low. I am enjoying my mortgage payments which have dropped 34% since november last year. Only trouble is I am not negatively geared much anymore! Damn.
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15 years ago

Jeremy Jones
I am amazed that with the latest drop in the OCR, most banks have hardly (or not at all) dropped their interest rates. The banks are so quick to make a buck and will do so until competition forces them to be more competitive. I think house sales will accelerate when the banks ease back on their massive profits and offer the 5% loans we are after.
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15 years ago

Alistair McLean
I agree its a good time to buy especially with the low and soon to be a bit lower interest rates for 5 @ 7 years fixed. They will probably drift up before prices do.Also there are smaller property cycles and areas within the big picture that may have elready bottomed out. Also, there is going to be a shortage of property shortly with the lack of building consents being issued lately and a few expats heading home after losing jobs overseas-I know of two already.
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15 years ago

Judith Milner
I think people should be very confident that their job is secure (even if the property is cashflow neutral). I live in London and every day there is news of more redundancies. It is hitting many sectors - obviously the financial sector, but also professional services, retail, hospitality. Among my group of friends, all highly skilled professionals, a number have been made redundant through restructurings and I fear that this is just the beginning. As they are also all ex-pats, I wonder whether they will return to NZ if things stay bad here, but moreover, is this trend going to strike NZ in the next 12 months. Unless you are in a strong position with pleanty of capital and strong cashflow, I would wait and see what the economy does in case this worldwide economic crisis really is different from the others.
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15 years ago

Paul Keary
I expect you may be kidding yourself if you think you can pick the exact bottom of the market. <br />Past experience has proved that there is a drop, then a plateau, then drop, then a plateau etc etc... Why would this cycle be any different? <br /> <br />I for one will not be buying now, for me I'll wait until I see the first raise in prices. Although I won't get the very lowest price it's not going to jump 20% in a month. I much prefer my odds of getting a deal than the landlord hoping to pick the bottom of the cycle <br /> <br />In my mind, buying now is a stupid risk - why would anyone bother
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15 years ago

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