Investments

US recovery likely to be L-shaped

Wednesday 12th of September 2001

Fundamentals: There is a risk, probably high, that this crisis, as it unfolds, could come to precipitate the capitulation of the US consumer and mark a new inflection point in the US recession.

While the probability of an inter-meeting rate cut, perhaps in excess of 50bps, is high, nevertheless, a leg down in domestic demand must be considered likely as fear of the crisis' consequences d...

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