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When will the first OCR increase occur?

Monday 12th of January 2026

The Reserve Bank is predicting as a result of the economy’s pace of growth going from -0.5% in the year to September 2025 to 2.8% in the year to March 2027 then 3.1% the year after, the inflation rate will fall from 3% to 2.2% then 2%.

That is what the markets have priced in, Alexander says.

However, the new Reserve Bank Governor Dr Anna Bremen has tried to push back again...

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