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Wide range of shares best bet - Mary Holm
Friday 16th of July 2004
still get my dividend whatever happens and, eventually, they will rise in value again.
I think I would still find it hard not to panic if my Contact Energy shares were suddenly worth 50 cents each.
What do you think of the high position of the market at the moment? Are we in danger of a crash?
A. I don't know. I could ring lots of market analysts and report back what they said. But history shows that nobody is all that good at predicting share market movements.
Having said that, crashes tend to follow periods of extraordinary growth. And we haven't had that.
The fact that the index is close to its 1987 peak is nothing to worry about. If anything, we should worry that it didn't get there years ago. Most of the world's big share markets topped their 1987 peaks within a year or two of the crash.
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I think I would still find it hard not to panic if my Contact Energy shares were suddenly worth 50 cents each.
What do you think of the high position of the market at the moment? Are we in danger of a crash?
A. I don't know. I could ring lots of market analysts and report back what they said. But history shows that nobody is all that good at predicting share market movements.
Having said that, crashes tend to follow periods of extraordinary growth. And we haven't had that.
The fact that the index is close to its 1987 peak is nothing to worry about. If anything, we should worry that it didn't get there years ago. Most of the world's big share markets topped their 1987 peaks within a year or two of the crash.
Read More - Opens in a new window
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