Insurance

World Cup as predicted by actuaries

Tuesday 22nd of September 2015

The insurer’s actuarial team has developed a model that can be used to predict the outcome of rugby matches.

It says New Zealand is the most likely winner, with a 44.3% chance of taking home the Rugby World Cup.

The Rugby Predictor uses modelling techniques to simulate the entire tournament 5000 times, across 240,000 games.

Each match was replicated by generating a number o...

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